Thursday, May 1, 2008

Global Warming over until 2015.

You might not hear it from Al Gore or his followers or even the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, but apparently it's been determined that the 'consensus' position on the 'settled' science was wrong.

( As I've been saying for months now ... )

According to the UK Telegraph:
"Global warming will stop until at least 2015 because of natural variations in the climate, scientists have said. Researchers studying long-term changes in sea temperatures said they now expect a 'lull' for up to a decade while natural variations in climate cancel out the increases caused by man-made greenhouse gas emissions.

"The average temperature of the sea around Europe and North America is expected to cool slightly over the decade while the tropical Pacific remains unchanged. This would mean that the 0.3°C global average temperature rise which has been predicted for the next decade by the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change may not happen, according to the paper published in the scientific journal Nature."
The cause?

First, the regular and predictable change in the Pacific ocean currents known as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) are bringing cooler temperatures.

NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory confirmed it a few days ago:
"The shift in the PDO can have significant implications for global climate, affecting Pacific and Atlantic hurricane activity, droughts and flooding around the Pacific basin, the productivity of marine ecosystems, and global land temperature patterns."
In the recent past, these changes have lasted anywhere from a few years to a few decades, and a quick review of the last century or so reveals that we're 'due' for a multi-decade shift similar to what was experieced in the 50s, 60s, and 70s -- which lead to Global Cooling becoming the major climatological concern.

- Source: Steven Hare, University of Washington

Now, while the PDO shift is a perfectly normal climatological phenomenon that has already been acknowledged to have put a halt to Global Warming for the near future, when you add in the fact that we still haven't had any significant sunspot activity and we're looking at conditions that project for an extended period of Global Cooling, not the catastrophic warming that Al Gore and the IPCC predicted ...

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